Geelong and Newcastle - Midweeks Best Bets
GEELONG
TRACK: GOOD 4 - RAIL: +3m entire
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RACE 5: 14. Dancing Dolly (NZ) (3)
Trainer:A.Alexander - Jockey:H.T.Coffey - Weight: 57kg
Closed off nicely from the rear when third first-up at Cranbourne over 1300m, beaten 1.5L behind two on-pacers.
Steps to 1400m second-up, where she’s placed before.
Gets a soft draw and should be winding up late.
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RACE 6: 2. Quantum Impact (IRE) (7)
Trainer:B. & W. & JD.Hayes - Jockey:B.Shinn - Weight: 61.5kg
Progressed well second-up when finishing 3rd at Mornington over 1500m, beaten under a length after settling back in a small field.
Solid first-up run prior to that when 4th at Sandown-Hillside over 1400m. Third-up today and has won third-up in the past.
Blinkers go on and gets Blake Shinn aboard. Tactically adaptable and well placed at this level.
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RACE 7: 5. Le Derriere (6)
Trainer:C.J.Littlefield - Jockey:D.W.Stackhouse - Weight: 58kg
Closed off well late when 4th at Avoca last start over 1200m, beaten under a length after settling further back than ideal.
Fitter now third-up and has been solid in both runs this prep.
Drawn well and should settle closer in the run with Stackhouse up.
Each-way claims at $8 if she can reproduce that late finish.
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RACE 8: 7. Curse It (3)
Trainer:G.Eurell - Jockey:L.J.Bates - Weight: 59kg
Progressive type who broke through impressively over 1760m here second-up, coming off a midfield run and putting in strong final sectionals.
Sharp improvement from debut and now gets to 2000m which looks ideal.
Drawn to get a soft run again and the early market support ($5.50 → $3.50) is telling. Right in this.
NEWCASTLE
TRACK: HEAVY8- RAIL: True 400m-W/Post; +2m Remainder
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RACE 5: 6. Motoscafo (11)
Trainer:J.P.Thompson - Jockey:A.Adkins - Weight: 56.5kg
Made good ground second-up when finishing runner-up at Hawkesbury, showing he’s come on well from a plain return at Gosford.
Third-up now and fitter, but this is a deeper race and the wide draw does him no favours.
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RACE 6: 8. Backward Glance (3)
Trainer:P.Perry - Jockey:A.Roper - Weight: 55.5kg
Made late ground second-up at Port Macquarie when stepping back to 1000m, a run that suggests the rise in trip will suit.
Third-up now, fitter, and draws well with the claim helping.
Still needs to lift to match these, but trending the right way.
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RACE 7: 7. Mischievous Molly (3)
Trainer:W.T.Wilkes - Jockey:S.Wilkes - Weight: 55.5kg
Won well fresh at Taree before a flat effort second-up on a testing surface at Muswellbrook.
Blinkers go on and a sharp freshen-up might help spark a return to form. Has won third-up previously.
Capable of improving, but needs to show more than last time.
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RACE 8: 5. Hardpoint (NZ) (1)
Trainer:B.S.Widdup - Jockey:D.Gibbons - Weight: 58.5kg
Outclassed in the G2 Tulloch on a heavy track, but did work early and weakened late.
Freshened since and better placed back in this grade. Prior effort at Gosford was solid enough when third over the mile.
Has the platform to improve here and should find this much more manageable.
